We have been smoking hot in the last several weeks, hitting parlays on nearly a daily basis, while also grinding out a nice ROI on our straight bet action as well. Yesterday was no different as we ran up an impressive 10-4 overall record and nailed our 3-team total parlay for a juicy $700 payout along the way! We picked up winners on the Rays (-175), Astros (-167), Giants (+150), Mets (-167), Red Sox (-122), Athletics (-143), and Angels (-143). Our 3-team totals parlay came in on the under in the Giants/Nationals and Mariners/Indians games and the over in the Rangers/Dodgers game.
As amazing of a day as it was yesterday, we nearly did even better, as we just missed nailing a couple more parlays. We took 2 of the 3 bets on our money line parlay and missed out on a $465 payout when the Atlanta Braves came up a run short against the Miami Marlins. The Braves had runners in scoring position with a chance to tie the game in the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings, but couldn’t finish off the comeback and get us paid. That one hurt, but the really painful loss came to us from New York, as we took the over 5.5 runs in the Mets/Padres game.
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) June 12, 2021
The game sat at 3-2 New York, in the 7th inning, and when Met’s starter Jacob deGrom was pulled with an injury, it seemed like we were locks to pick up that extra run and finish off what would have been a 5-team parlay worth over $1,600 bucks! But alas, we came up a half of a run short and finished up hitting 4 of 5 on our get rich or die trying parlay bet. Yesterday was a good day, and it was very nearly a great day, and today we get right back at it, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (-150)
Another day, another fade of the Rockies on the road. Colorado is an absolute embarrassment away from Denver this season, as they are just 5-25 on the road. Yet, despite the fact that they are on pace to be the worst road team in Major League Baseball history, the books continue to price them reasonably. Yeah, Rockies starter German Marquez has actually pitched decently in opposing team’s ballparks, but it’s not like that has really mattered, as he has made 4 road starts and has an 0-4 record to show for it. Against Cincinnati earlier this season, he got roughed up for 4 earned runs in 6 innings, and it could have been far worse, as he gave up 8 hits and 3 walks and was constantly working in and out of jams. Marquez is going to have to be good if the Rockies want to win this game, as Wade Miley has been fantastic pitching at home this season for Cincinnati.
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) June 12, 2021
Miley has a 2.70 ERA at Great American Ballpark this year in 5 starts. In 4 of those 5 outings, he has allowed 2 earned runs or less, and if he can hold the Rockies to just a couple of runs tonight, the Reds are going to win this game. This could have been a really quick write up. If Colorado is playing on the road, give me the other team. The Rockies are just too bad not to blind bet against them on the road at a price like this, and with Wade Miley pitching as well as he has at home for the Reds this year, this is a laughably bad number.
Houston Astros (-112) at Minnesota Twins
We backed the Houston Astros yesterday, as they have been red-hot in the last couple of weeks, and while they did make us sweat it out a little bit, Houston came through in the end, and we cashed our ticket. Today, I almost couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw this number get posted, as it makes absolutely no sense. The Astros are 9-3 in their last 12 games, despite playing a brutal schedule, and with the way Luis Garcia has been pitching, they should be much larger favorites against this last place Twins team. In his last 5 starts, Luis Garcia is 5-0 and has allowed just 6 total earned runs in 29 innings pitched, while racking up 33 Ks. The 24-year-old rookie isn’t a household name just yet, but he is in the conversation for the Rookie of the Year Award in the American League right now, and he is pitching like the Astro’s ace with a 2.75 ERA.
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 12, 2021
Minnesota will answer Garcia with an ace of their own, in Jose Berrios. Berrios has done more than his fair share to help the Twins win games, as they have won 6 of his last 7 starts. But at home, Berrios has been shaky, with a 4.71 ERA, 2 full runs higher than his road ERA of 2.81. Before you get too excited about this nice run for Berrios, you have to take note of the fact that those wins came against Kansas City (twice), Baltimore (twice), the Angels, and the A’s. Of those teams, only Oakland has a winning record. When Berrios has faced teams with a winning record in the AL, the Twins are just 1-3. The Astros are the far superior team in this matchup, and while Jose Berrios is an established top of the rotation starter for Minnesota, I could argue that Luis Garcia is the better side of the starting pitching matchup right now. I’ll take the Astros as I expect them to stay hot tonight in the Twin Cities.
Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics (-165)
Yesterday I told you that the Oakland Athletics were basically free money in their game against the Kansas City Royals. Oakland jumped out to an early 3-0 lead and held on to win the game 4-3, and we got paid. Today is looking like a carbon copy of yesterday, as again, the A’s are the side to back. Jackson Kowar was a first-round draft pick back in 2018, and after mowing through the competition in triple-A this season, he earned his shot in the show. But unfortunately for the 24-year-old right-hander, his first-ever start in the Big Leagues didn’t go as planned, as he got smashed for 4 earned runs on 3 hits and 2 walks and recorded just 2 outs before being yanked from the game. I am sure that this kid will be better today, as it’s hard to be much worse, but matched up with Athletics starter James Kaprelian, he is going to need to be on point.
— Oakland A’s (@Athletics) June 12, 2021
Kaprelian has made 5 Major League starts, and in 4 of those 5 outings, he was very good. He got touched up by the Seattle Mariners once, but besides that, he has been great. At home this season, he has yet to allow an earned run in 7 innings pitched. This is another low hanging fruit spot, where you lay a little wood, take the favorite, and cash a no sweat ticket. It isn’t glamorous, and it isn’t sexy, but it’s high value, and it’s going to make us money. Until Jackson Kowar shows me that he deserves to be pitching in the Big Leagues and that he can make it through a single inning in the show, I will look for ways to fade him profitably.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Cincinnati Reds -150
- Houston Astros -112
- Oakland Athletics -165
$100 Bet Pays $507
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Under 8.5 Runs (-110)
This is another repeat of a winning bet yesterday, as we took the under in game 1 between Seattle and Cleveland, and not only did the Mariner’s not score in the game, they barely even had any baserunners, as they ended the day with only 2 base hits. Cleveland ran up the score early in a rare offensive explosion, plating 7 runs, and the bet still came in well under the total. More to come on this game below, but both of these teams are struggling too much at the plate this season not to want to be on the under in this game. Either one of these teams can get shut out, and when one of the teams doesn’t score, it sure is hard to go over a total like 8.5 runs.
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7.5 Runs (-110)
Yesterday when I took the over 7.5 runs in game 1 of this Dodgers/Rangers series, I mentioned that the Dodgers could easily send this game to the over all on their own. And that is exactly what happened, as the Boys in Blue hammered Rangers starter Mike Foltynewicz and finished the day by posting 12 runs on the board. With Texas starting former top prospect, turned disappointing MLB pitcher, Kolby Allard, I see LA staying hot and running up the score tonight at home. Allard has an ERA north of 5 runs on the road, and he hasn’t faced anything like what he is going to see tonight in the City of Angels. Trevor Bauer is a stud and likely won’t give up many runs against this bad Ranger’s lineup, but he is fresh off of 2 of his worst starts of the season, as he has allowed 7 total runs in his last 2 appearances. This one goes over, and it just might go WAY over.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Under 7.5 Runs (-110)
The Pittsburgh Pirates are dead last in MLB in runs scored per game. The Milwaukee Brewers haven’t been much better either, as they are 11th in the NL in runs scored. Similar to the Indians/Mariners game, these teams just can’t hit the baseball. Corbin Burnes gets the nod for Milwaukee, and Pirates fans must be petrified of what might happen to them today. Burnes has been outstanding this season for Milwaukee, and the Pirates are going to be doing a lot of swinging and missing in this one. Chad Kuhl isn’t very good for Pittsburgh, but the Brewers aren’t consistent enough at the plate to scare me away from this play on the under. I’ll call this one 3-1 Milwaukee, and we won’t even have to sweat it.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Under 8.5 Runs -110
- Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7.5 Runs -110
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Under 7.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies (+114)
The Philadelphia Phillies have been so bad on the road this season that most people haven’t caught on to the fact that they are actually great at home. The Phillies are 19-12 at home this season, and they got a rare home day off yesterday. Teams that get an off day during a homestand are some of my favorite teams to back, and the Phillies are going to be well-rested today. This homestand is going well for the Phillies, as they took both of their series against the Nationals and Braves, 2 games to 1, and with a win, tonight against New York, they can lock up at least a series split in this quick 2 game set.
Big weekend. Let’s keep it rolling.
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) June 12, 2021
Jameson Taillon has made 4 road starts this season, and he has yet to work more than 4.2 innings, and he has allowed at least 4 earned runs each time out. I am shocked to see New York as road favorites today with Taillon on the mound, and I expect Philly to continue their strong performance on this homestand, and I love getting them as home dogs.
San Diego Padres at New York Mets (+114)
As good as the Phillies have been at home this year, it is the New York Mets that have the best home winning percentage in the National League. New York is a sizzling hot 16-5 at home, and this will be just the 4th time all season long that they will be home dogs. Those other 3 games? Yeah, the Mets won them all. Marcus Stroman has a 2.01 ERA at Citi Field, and he’s happy to be back in the Big Apple after making 4 of his last 5 starts on the road. In his 4 home starts this season, Stroman has held opposing teams to 1 run or fewer 3 times. Joe Musgrove is having a breakout year for San Diego, and the Padres are a really talented team that I hate to fade, but New York is just too good at home this year to not love getting them as home dogs.
Seattle Mariners (+100) at Cleveland Indians
One of our few losses yesterday came when we took the Seattle Mariners, and they got blown out by the Cleveland Indians. The M’s bats have been mighty quiet in the last several weeks, but something tells me that is going to change today in Cleveland, against Indians starter Triston McKenzie. McKenzie is a blue-chip prospect that isn’t quite ready for primetime, and at home, he has an ERA of more than 8 runs. McKenzie has made 10 starts for the Indians, and they are 2-8 in those games. Things are seemingly getting worse for the youngster as he has gotten lit up for at least 5 runs in 4 of his last 6 starts.
Matinee matchup on deck. pic.twitter.com/Iz4Qp6tiPm
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) June 12, 2021
For Seattle, they will start Japanese import Yusei Kikuchi, who is quietly putting together a nice season for the Mariners. Kikuchi saw his stretch of 6 consecutive quality starts come to an end in his last outing, when the LA Angels got to him, and he has done exactly what the Mariners have needed from him this year, as he gets deep into games and gives his team a chance to win every time that he pitches. Neither of these teams are playing great at the moment, and this feels like an ugly game where Seattle guts out a hard-fought road victory. Triston McKenzie just shouldn’t be favored against anybody right now, not even this Mariners team that is dead last in the majors in team batting average.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Philadelphia Phillies +114
- New York Mets +114
- Seattle Mariners +100
$100 Bet Pays $916
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-125)
Nick Pivetta looks to be on track to make his first-ever All-Star team this season, as he has done a great job of leading these upstart Red Sox to one of the best records in the American League. Pivetta sports a 6-1 record and 3.78 ERA, and in his 12 starts for Boston this year, the Red Sox are 10-2. He has yet to allow more than 4 earned runs in any start, and he has held teams to 2 earned runs or fewer 8 times. Seven Matz came out of the gates hot for Toronto this year, as he was 4-0 after his first 4 starts of the season, but since that great start, the Blue Jays have lost 6 of his last 8 games. When he faced the Red Sox back in May, he gave up a season-high 10 hits and got blasted for 5 earned runs, and Toronto lost the game. Pivetta is a guy that always finds a way to win, and Matz is a guy that always finds a way to lose. Give me the home team at a more than reasonable price.
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs (-105)
In the last 2 weeks, I have caught fire betting home teams on the run line. It is a bet that I don’t make very often, but I have gone a perfect 7-0 on home team runs lines in the last couple of weeks. We are seeing a trend emerge this season, where several teams are almost unbelievably bad on the road. Baltimore, Texas, Arizona, and Colorado aren’t just bad away from home, they don’t even give a full effort most nights. This has opened the door to fading those teams on the run line, and so far, it has worked out really well for us.
40-24 but not over the Hill pic.twitter.com/eOW417cvbC
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) June 12, 2021
Rich Hill has been pitching out of his mind since the start of May, taking home the May AL Pitcher of the Month Award, and after giving up 4 earned runs in each of his first 4 starts of the season, he hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 8 starts. Hill had an absurd 0.78 ERA in the month of May, and he has been even better so far in June, as he has yet to allow an earned run this month. Who will Baltimore go with to try and match a guy that is so good right now? Jorge Lopez, who hasn’t had a winning decision since April. Baltimore was 3-8 with Lopez on the mound before exploding for 18 runs in his last start and picking up the rare win. This is a mismatch. Tampa Bay wins this game, and they do it by multiple runs.
Los Angeles Angels (-121) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Yesterday I told you how I have been leading the charge when it comes to Arizona Diamondbacks hate, as I think they are the worst team in the Major Leagues. They didn’t disappoint me, as they again lost, and I see no reason not to be against them every day if the books continue to price them reasonably. Caleb Smith has pitched well, splitting time between the DBacks rotation and bullpen, but who cares, they still lose almost every game. And Alex Cobb is seemingly getting his life together right now as well, as he posted a 0.53 ERA in May. Arizona has lost 31 of their last 35 games, and they are a joke right now. Give me the Angels as small road favorites as a straight fade of this putrid Arizona Diamondbacks squad.
Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs (-114) at Detroit Tigers
The Chicago White Sox own the Detroit Tigers. Not only do they beat the Tigers basically every time that they play them, they usually blow them out. Jose Urena has an ERA north of 5 runs in Motown and he faced the White Sox last week and was charged with a loss. Dylan Cease hasn’t been very good on the road, but he dazzled against these very same Tigers in his last start, working 7 shutout innings, scattering 5 hits, while striking out 10. No team in the AL has a higher run differential than the White Sox do, and I will lay the run and a half and expect them to smash the Tigers today on the road.
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs (-129)
For a guy that says he never takes home run line bets, I sure have been taking them a lot recently! But it’s hard to argue with the results as we haven’t lost a home run line bet in weeks, and after seeing what the Dodgers did to Texas yesterday, I can’t imagine things are going to get a lot better for the Rangers today. Trevor Buer is an animal, and the Rangers won’t have anything for him, and Kolby Allard is going to get a heavy dose of medicine today from these Dodgers that have the highest run differential in baseball, at a whopping +100. This one feels like it could get out of hand early, and I’ll call it at a 9-1 Dodgers victory where we coast to yet another run line winner.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Boston Red Sox -125
- Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs -105
- Los Angeles Angels -121
- Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs -114
- Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 Runs -129
$100 Bet Pays $2,139
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!