We unlocked the power of the parlay yesterday when we nailed our money line parlay for a juicy $412 payout! The ticket came in when the Red Sox, Rays, and Cubs all took care of business and won their games. But that wasn’t all we did yesterday, as we cashed a couple of money line underdog bets as well, as the Phillies (+130) and the A’s (-105) both won getting juice, on what turned out to be yet another very profitable day betting on Big League Baseball.
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) May 15, 2021
We are right back on the hunt today for more value, and with a full slate of games on tap, we have action all over the board today! Highlights of the day include the Brewers and Braves playing in Milwaukee, the Blue Jays hosting the Philadelphia Phillies, and the Cardinals and the Padres squaring off in San Diego, with the best record in the National League on the line. As always, we are right here with you today, delivering max value, on everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Atlanta Braves (-114) at Milwaukee Brewers
We have an Anderson on Anderson matchup today in Milwaukee, as the Braves will start Ian Anderson, and the Brewers will answer with an Anderson of their own, in Brett Anderson. Not only do these guys have the same last name, they have posted nearly identical stats this year, as their ERA and WHIP are within a tenth of a point of each other, and both guys have 2 wins on the season. So, where do I draw the line between these guys? Run support, K rate, and their ability to get deep into ball games. And it just so happens that Ian Anderson has a major advantage in each of those areas.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) May 15, 2021
Brett Anderson has just 11 Ks in 20.1 innings pitched, and he relies on his ability to pitch to contact to win games. The same can’t be said about his counterpart, though, as Ian Anderson has some elite swing and miss stuff. Anderson always enjoys a lot of run support, as the Braves have scored him an average of nearly 5 runs per game, which is significantly higher than the Brewers score in support of their Anderson, as the Brew Crew has scored him just 3 runs of support in his last 2 starts combined. Brett Anderson went down with a hamstring injury in late April, and it sent him to the IL. In his 1st start back from returning from the injury, the Brewers decided to take things slow with him, as he worked only 3 innings. On the year, Anderson has only pitched past the 5th inning once in 5 starts.
Ian Anderson has pitched at least 5 innings in all but 1 of his 7 starts, and he has pitched into the 6th inning or later 4 times. These teams are close to a toss-up at this point, but I will lean on the better Anderson in this one and back Ian Anderson and the Braves to make it back-to-back wins over the Brewers on the road.
Philadelphia Phillies (-143) at Toronto Blue Jays
Yesterday I was shocked that I could get the Phillies as big underdogs and mentioned that the line made absolutely no sense. And after watching the Phillies take the game comfortably, with a 5-1 victory, my assertion that Philly should have been favored seemed to be on point. The books have adjusted today for game 2, as the Phillies are now the favorites, and I like them to win again with their ace Aaron Nola getting the start. Nola has been a bit inconsistent, but when he is at his best, he is basically untouchable. Nola has done a great job of striking guys out and limiting his walks, and as long as he can keep the ball in the ballpark, he is going to have a lot of success tonight.
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) May 15, 2021
Now, that is a mighty big IF, as the Blue Jays lead the American League in home runs, but when you look at who they are starting in this game, you know they are going to need to score plenty of runs to have any shot at winning the game. Anthony Kay will make just his 5th ever start today for Toronto, and to say things haven’t gone well for him would be quite an understatement. In 3 appearances this year, Kay has worked just 9.2 innings and has gotten blasted for 12 total runs. The Blue Jays have lost all 3 of the games where Kay has pitched, with each loss coming by multiple runs. The Phillies feel undervalued here, as Nola is elite, and Anthony Kay probably shouldn’t even be pitching in the majors right now. I’ll back the Phillies and feel like the price is a steal.
Washington Nationals (-121) at Arizona Diamondbacks
Wins have been tough to come by for the Washington Nationals this year, and while you can certainly point to a lot of players as to why they haven’t been able to win games, Joe Ross isn’t one of them. Ross had one really bad start against the St. Louis Cardinals, but besides that bad outing, he has been very good this year for Washington. Ross has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 5 of his 6 starts. On the road, he has been remarkable, with a 2-0 record and 1.23 ERA.
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) May 15, 2021
Seth Frankoff will get the nod for Arizona and will be making his 1st Major League start. Frankoff first appeared in the show back in 2017, pitching 2 innings in relief for the Chicago Cubs. He wasn’t seen again until last year when he briefly pitched for the Seattle Mariners. All told, the career stat line for Frankoff is a dismal 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in 4.2 innings. While Washington doesn’t have a lot of power, they exploded yesterday for a whopping 17 runs, putting a beating on the Arizona bullpen. With a guy like Seth Frankoff getting the start, you have to expect Washington to stay hot at the dish. I try to never put too much emphasis on the starting pitching matchup in a game, but this is a major mismatch, and Washington has seemingly caught the DBacks at just the right time, as Arizona has lost 9 of their last 11 games.
Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Atlanta Braves -114
- Philadelphia Phillies -143
- Washington Nationals -121
$100 Bet Wins $483
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end, up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies Over 10.5 Runs (-110)
Sometimes it doesn’t even seem logical that I get to bet on the over in games at Coors Field. Coors Field has always been a ballpark where lots of runs hit the board, and the books don’t really have any way of limiting their exposure on totals in the thin air of the Rocky Mountains, as they already price these totals higher than any other park, but it doesn’t matter as many games still sail well over. We have seen lots of that in this series, as these teams have already combined for an utterly absurd 36 runs in the first 2 games of this series. If it ain’t broke don’t fix it, I am taking the over again today in the rarefied air of the Rockies.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Over 8.5 Runs (-110)
It is a day full of overs, as I am making another play on the over here in Baltimore, in this game between the Yankees and Orioles. I don’t trust Domingo German as far as I can throw him, and Orioles starter Jorge Lopez has been decent in his last couple of outings, but he still has an ERA of nearly 6 runs on the year, and his career ERA of 5.98 tells me that he is going to get hammered by this Yankees lineup that is finally starting to wake up. The New York bullpen is excellent, so most of these runs are going to have to either come from the Bronx Bombers or against German, but this total is reasonable enough, so I’ll jump on the over and feel good about the play.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Over 9.5 Runs (-110)
Rarely does a day go by that I don’t take the over in the Angel’s game, as this team just can’t pitch. We got burnt on that play yesterday, as the game stayed just under the total, but that makes me feel even better about the over today, as this Angels pitching staff is laughable, and I can’t imagine that they are going to slow down this Red Sox lineup again today. Dylan Bundy started out his season pitching ok, but he has lost track of that lately, and after a couple of rough outings, his ERA has now swelled to over 5 runs. Martin Perez has been even worse, as he is 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA at home this season. Maybe the runs will come early, maybe they will come late, but they are coming, you can count on it.
Game Total Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies Over 10.5 Runs -110
- New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Over 8.5 Runs -110
- Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Over 9.5 Runs -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Oakland Athletics (+125) at Minnesota Twins
I mentioned in my pick yesterday that I just can’t understand why the Minnesota Twins are being priced so aggressively this season. This isn’t just a bad team; this is the team with the worst record in the Major Leagues! Yet the books keep pricing them as favorites. That was the case yesterday, and I jumped all over the Athletics, and in a not remotely shocking outcome, we cashed our ticket when Oakalnd won the game. And once again today, the books have the Twins as favorites over this Oakland team that is currently tied for the best record in Major League Baseball. Yeah, Twin’s starter Jose Berrios is the better side of the starting pitching matchup with Oakland’s Cole Irvin, but I couldn’t imagine caring. Let’s put it like this, I get to back the best team in baseball, against the worst team in baseball, and they are going to pay me (+125) to do it. Yeah, sign me up for all of that!
Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers (+115)
I liked the Chicago Cubs yesterday, as I felt that Jake Arrieta was finally healthy and going to pitch well and lead his team to a victory. That is exactly what happened, as Arrieta had a nice showing, and the Cubs won the game and cashed our ticket for us. But today, I am going to switch gears and back the Tigers as a straight fade of Cub’s starter Trevor Williams. Williams has been terrible on the road for Chicago, as he has an 0-2 record and a sky-high 10.64 ERA in 3 road starts.
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) May 15, 2021
And as bad as the Tigers have been this season, and they have been awful, Jose Urena has acquitted himself well. Urena hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his last 6 starts, working into the 7th inning or later in 4 of those outings. The Cubs have the better overall record, but their road winning percentage is the 2nd worst in the NL, trailing only the Colorado Rockies. Chicago can’t win on the road, Trevor Williams can’t win on the road, this smells like a home dog play on Detroit if you ask me.
St. Louis Cardinals (+115) at San Diego Padres
We already talked about how the Twins are being mispriced with regularity, and the same can be said about the St. Louis Cardinals, albeit in the opposite direction. Entering play today, St. Louis is tied with the San Francisco Giants for the most wins in the National League. Yet despite all of the winning the Red Birds have been doing, they are still being priced poorly. I mean, I get it, the Padres are a good team too, but Adam Wainwright looks like his old self, as he has mostly pitched great this season. Wainwright is coming off his best start of the season, as he worked into the 9th inning against the Colorado Rockies and didn’t allow a single run while scattering only 3 hits. Wainwright has made it to the 9th inning in 2 of his last 3 starts and has been a pleasant surprise for Cardinal’s fans at age 39.
FINAL: Padres 5, Cardinals 4 pic.twitter.com/PqJXQPnw2O
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) May 15, 2021
We all thought that Chris Paddack was going to be an All-Star when he first came up with the San Diego Padres back in 2019. The guy has undeniably great stuff, but he just hasn’t been able to put it all together as of yet, as he has a career losing record and an ERA of nearly 4 runs. Paddack struggles to get deep into ball games as his pitch count tends to swell early, and at home this season, he is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA. His ERA on the season looks somewhat respectable at 4.73, but that’s only because he hasn’t been charged with several unearned runs.
I know unearned runs aren’t technically the pitcher’s fault, but at the end of the day, runs are runs, and they all count the same in the box score, and Paddack has given up 19 total runs in 23.1 innings pitched this season. I’ll take the tragically underpriced Cardinals in this game and expect Adam Wainwright to continue his tear with another solid outing against this Padres team that has been gutted by COVID-19 in the last week.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Oakland Athletics +125
- Detroit Tigers +115
- St. Louis Cardinals +115
$100 Bet Wins $941
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox (+102)
Speaking of teams that are consistently mispriced, I present to you the Los Angeles Angels. This game feels like a carbon copy of the Twin’s/A’s game, as the Angels are sitting in last place in their division, with one of the worst records in the American League, yet they are somehow favored, on the road no less, against a Boston Red Sox team that has the best record in the AL? I just don’t get it. I guess you can kinda-sorta argue that Dylan Bundy isn’t the worst pitcher ever, but he certainly shouldn’t be laying wood on the road against this Boston team that has the top scoring offense in the league. It’s going to be a wild one, with lots of runs hitting the board, and there isn’t a team in the league I would rather back in a slugfest than these Boston Red Sox.
San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates (+100)
The Giants are the surprise team of the National League so far this season, as they have somehow managed to find themselves in 1st place in the best division in baseball, the NL West. The Giants have the top winning percentage in all of baseball, and I have backed them a lot, and they are getting me rich. But when you take a closer look at the Giant’s success this season, nearly all of it has come at home, as they are actually a losing team on the road. Johnny Cueto had a great April, as he was 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in 3 starts before going down with an injury.
Update: Adam Frazier leads the National League in hits. pic.twitter.com/nMWqjvSBiB
— Pirates (@Pirates) May 15, 2021
He returned last week after missing 3 weeks and was bad, as he got lit up for 5 runs, all earned, in just 3 innings pitched, and the Giants git blown out by 10 runs. The G-Men will need Cueto to be at his best today, as Tyler Anderson is putting together a career year for the Pirates. Anderson has yet to allow more than 3 earned runs in any start this season, and at home, he has a 2.70 ERA. The Pirates have won 4 of Anderson’s last 5 starts, and with Cueto still shaking off the rust and the Giants struggling to win on the road, this is a nice spot for yet another home underdog play on Pittsburgh.
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs (+112)
Carlos Rodon has been unbelievable for the Chicago White Sox this year. He has made 5 starts and is an undefeated 5-0 with a blink, and you will miss it, 0.58 ERA. Run line bets are always a dicey proposition, and home run line bets are even riskier, but had you bet the White Sox on the run line in all of Rodon’s starts this year, you would have won every bet. A blind bet on Rodon makes sense at this point as he has just been too good not to back, but with this Royal’s team in free fall, losers of 12 of their last 13 games, this one feels like free money. Give me Chicago in blowout fashion as Rodon dominates against the hapless Royals.
Texas Rangers (+155) at Houston Astros
What is that you smell? Upset? Yeah, me too. I have made a ton of underdog plays today, and I will make another one here in this battle for Texas series. The Rangers are quietly hanging around in the AL West, despite just about everyone thinking they are going to be a last place team. They certainly aren’t world beaters by any means, but they are still in the wild card conversation, and they have a better record than teams like the Angels, Orioles, Royals, Tigers, and Twins in the AL. Dane Dunning came out of the gates on fire to start the season before tripping up late in April, but here in May, he seemingly has things going again as he has pitched well.
Let’s turn the page and look to the next one. pic.twitter.com/EKPQYL7PvU
— Texas Rangers (@Rangers) May 15, 2021
I like Dunning as the better end of the starting pitching matchup, as all Luis Garcia does for Houston is lose. Literally. Garcia has pitched in 7 games this season for Houston, and the Astros are 0-7 in those games. It’s hard to blame Garcia too much for those losses, as he has actually pitched fairly well, but some guys just have bad luck, and right now, nobody has worse luck than Luis Garcia. This bet is a bit of a gamble, as the Astros are the far superior team, but with the Black Messiah pitching for Houston, I’ll take the Rangers in an upset.
Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners (-106)
I guess it is fitting that on a day where I have taken so many underdogs that I will take another one as my final play of the day. Seattle called up super prospect Jarred Kelenic at the start of this series with the hopes that he would spark their offense. Well, that is exactly what he did last night in his 2nd ever Big League game, as he became the youngest player since, get this, Ricky Henderson, to hit 3 extra-base hits in a game. Kelenic picked up his first MLB hit in the 1st inning, and fittingly, it left the ballpark. There is a lot of positive stuff going on in Seattle right now, and I think they ride the high from last night’s win to another win tonight with Justus Sheffield on the mound. The legend of Jarred Kelenic continues tonight, and I can’t wait to see what this kid does next!
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Boston Red Sox +102
- Pittsburgh Pirates +100
- Chicago White Sox -1.5 Runs +112
- Texas Rangers +155
- Seattle Mariners -106
$100 Bet Wins $4,145
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!