Yesterday was a back and forth kind of day, but it was oh so close to another big one. We picked up nice winners by backing Syracuse, Oregon State, Wichita State, St. John’s, USC, and NC State, but we took a couple of bad beats that stopped us from scooping up a pile of cash. We had Stephen F Austin, and the Lumberjacks led almost the entire game before losing it late to Abilene Christian.
— Oregon State Hoops (@BeaverMBB) March 4, 2021
We also had UCLA, and the Bruins led on the road with less than six minutes left to play, with us +4.5-points, but we ran bad in the final few minutes and lost that cover as well. We were getting +5.5 in the Texas A&M game, and after leading at the half, the Aggies managed to lose by six, and we got hooked for another winner. It was just one of those days where we were clearly on the right side of the action, but the variance caught us and slowed us down, from having another huge day. We get back at it today as we find even more parlay bet value!
Point Spread Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on point spread parlays. A point spread parlay is a parlay bet where all of the games bet are point spreads, and you will have to lay a little juice on each bet. A standard 3-team point spread parlay will payout 6-1, a 4-teamer pays out 11-1, and a 10-teamer pays out a whopping 720-1! As you can see, the payouts can get really big, really fast, on point spread parlays!
Oklahoma State Cowboys (+11.5) at Baylor Bears
When a team has played as well as Baylor has this season, it’s hard to poke too many holes in their resume. But even with Baylor looking like a lock for a one seed in the NCAA tournament, head coach Scott Drew has to be a little bit concerned about how his Bears have played in the last two weeks. Baylor lost their first and only game of the season to Kansas last week, getting blown out by the Jayhawks in Lawrence. The game before that, Baylor barely snuck past a bad Iowa State team at home, and in their last game, they needed a buzzer beater to force overtime against West Virginia, before winning the game in the extra frame.
— OSU Cowboy Basketball (@OSUMBB) March 4, 2021
The same can’t be said about the Oklahoma State Cowboys, as OSU is playing their best ball of the season. Since the Cowboys went into Waco and got beaten up by Baylor in late January, this has been a completely different OK State team. OSU has wins over Texas, Kansas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma (twice), and they have won eight out of ten games since, including a five-game winning streak. This is one of those spots where Baylor is the better overall team, but they look like they just might be running out of gas, and the last team they want to play right now is this red-hot OSU team. Baylor likely wins the game, but it is going to be close, and I am shocked I can get double-digit points to back the Cowboys. I’ll call this an 80-74 final score with OK State coasting to a cover.
Michigan State Spartans (+12) at Michigan Wolverines
This next game is a very similar situation as the first one. Michigan was rampaging through the Big 10 until they slipped up in their last game, getting smashed at home by Illinois. Illinois is really good, but they did play that one without their best player, Ayo Dosunmu, and to see them hammer Michigan by double digits on their own floor may have exposed Big Blue just a little bit. I’m not saying that Michigan is overrated, but that was by far their worst performance of the season, and you hate to see that late in the season like this.
Beat Michigan. pic.twitter.com/DKL5p84QZD
— Michigan State Basketball (@MSU_Basketball) March 4, 2021
Just like Oklahoma State, the Spartans are finding their way late in the season after a rough start to conference play. Sparty has gone from a team on the outside looking in for the NCAA tournament, to a team that looks safely inside the field of 68 as the regular season winds to a close. Michigan State has wins over Indiana (twice), Illinois, and Ohio State in the last two weeks, and Tom Izzo has his team peaking at the right time. Same scenario as the first game, same play as the first game. I will take the hot hand getting a ton of points, and expect a close game. Give me Michigan State in a rivalry game where you can usually throw the records out the window.
TCU Horned Frogs at West Virginia Mountaineers (-13)
There aren’t many teams in the nation that have the home court advantage that the West Virginia Mountaineers have. WVU just doesn’t lose at home very often, and when you look at their four home losses this season, two of them came in overtime, and all of them came to top-25 teams. The Mountaineers have double-digit wins at home over the likes of Kansas, Kansas State, Northeastern, Richmond, and North Texas. All of those compare favorably to this TCU team, with maybe the exception of Northeastern, and we have seen West Virginia regularly blow out good teams in Morgantown.
— WVU Men’s Basketball (@WVUhoops) March 4, 2021
TCU somehow managed to beat Oklahoma State twice this year, but besides those two fluky wins over the Cowboys, TCU doesn’t have another win over a team that is going to be playing in the NCAA tournament. They lost by 20 at Texas Tech, 15 at Texas, and 34 at Oklahoma. I see West Virginia handling the Horned Frogs easily tonight at home and running this score up. 13 points is a lot in a conference game, but I see the Mountaineers winning this one by 20+.
Point Spread Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Oklahoma State Cowboys (+11.5) -100
- Michigan State Spartans (+12) -110
- West Virginia Mountaineers (-13) -110
$100 Bet Wins $600
Money Line Magic
This next type of parlay we are going to look at is an all money line parlay. With these types of bets, you don’t care about points spreads, it is just who wins or loses the games that matter. Want to load up on a bunch of favorites and get paid when they all win? Do you smell a couple of big upsets? Parlay those together on a money line parlay, and you can get paid big!
Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma Sooners (-132)
Oklahoma has lost three straight games entering play tonight, which is certainly concerning, but when you take a closer look, it might have just been a tough patch of scheduling that did the Sooners in more than anything else. They ran into the buzz saw that has been the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the last month and dropped two games to the Cowboys, and the other loss was a conference road game. OU had won eight of nine before this recent skid with signature victories over Kansas, West Virginia, Texas, and Alabama. The Sooners are 10-2 in Norman, with one of those losses coming in overtime to OK State and the other by just two points to Texas Tech.
Shaka Smart finally has a team that he can take for a deep run in the NCAA tournament. But after a blistering hot start to the season where they were 10-1 with a slew of quality victories, they have come back down to earth in the second half of league play. Despite playing a nasty schedule, somehow, the Longhorns have managed only one win over a top-100 team since early January.
⏰ 8 pm CT
🔗 https://t.co/uwGHtPXYah pic.twitter.com/8RqikFBnsU
— Oklahoma Basketball (@OU_MBBall) March 4, 2021
Texas won in overtime at home over Kansas last week, but besides that win, Texas only has wins over Iowa State, TCU, and Kansas State since knocking off West Virginia on January 9th. Their record against the top-100 during that span is a dismal 1-6. I think Oklahoma gets back on track tonight and picks up the win on their home floor. It will be close, and I wouldn’t want to lay a bunch of paint on OU, but I do think the Sooners win outright, so I will make my play on the money line.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (-130) at Portland State Vikings
I will hit one of my favorite honey holes again today and back the Southern Utah Thunderbirds. SUU is a very underrated squad, and I have been backing them all season long and getting paid. The T-Birds are undefeated against teams ranked outside of the top-150 nationally, and that bodes well in this matchup against 228th ranked Portland State. Portland State has played well as of late, but they do have home floor losses to bad teams like Montana, Idaho State, and D2 team Northwest Nazarene. I expect the T-Birds to run their current seven-game winning streak to eight games tonight on the road.
Rhode Island Rams at Dayton Flyers (-175)
Dayton has been inconsistent this year, but they are probably a better basketball team than most people are giving them credit for right now. The Flyers have wins over Saint Louis (twice), St. Bonaventure, Davidson, Ole Miss, and Mississippi State. A resume chalked full of top-100 wins like that usually gets a team at-large bid consideration in the A-10, but losses to St. Joe’s, Duquesne, Fordham, and La Salle has kept the Flyers mostly out of that conversation.
New Season. Let’s Work 😤 pic.twitter.com/rvzMhW2tSY
— Dayton Basketball (@DaytonMBB) March 4, 2021
Rhode Island is another team that has shown the ability to beat solid teams with wins over VCU, Seton Hall, St. Bonaventure, and a season split with this Dayton team. But the Rams ran out of gas late in the season as they are mired in a slump that has seen them lose six out of their last seven games. This is the opening round of the A-10 conference tournament, and with both teams fighting for their NCAA tournament lives, you can expect them both to leave everything on the floor in what should be a thriller. I’ve got Dayton sneaking into the next round, and they could very well surprise a lot of people in the A-10 tournament as they have the talent to compete at the top of the league if there are playing at their best.
Vanderbilt Commodores at Cincinnati Bearcats (-295)
Vanderbilt has been absolutely awful on the road this season. The Commodores are just 1-7 in true road games. They have played a tough schedule, and many of their losses were to decent teams, but at the end of the day, there hasn’t been a lot of winning going on for Vanderbilt as they are 3-12 in conference play. Cincinnati had a brutal start to the season where they lost six of their first eight games, but they are actually playing well in the second half of the season.
It’s GAME DAY, Cincinnati!
— Cincinnati Men’s Hoops (@GoBearcatsMBB) March 4, 2021
Since that bad start, the Bearcats are a respectable 7-3, with all three losses coming to teams that should be playing in the NCAA tournament with losses to Wichita State, Memphis, and Houston. This bet is more of a fade of Vanderbilt than me having a lot of confidence in Cincinnati, but even if the Bearcats don’t go out and win the game, Vanderbilt will find a way to lose it.
Money Line Magic Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Oklahoma Sooners -132
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds -130
- Dayton Flyers -175
- Cincinnati Bearcats -295
$100 Bet Wins $555
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can back these teams getting the points, but the best way to get a huge return on your money is to take these teams on the money line!
Southern Illinois Salukis at Bradley Braves (+120)
This play is all about the numbers. Bradley hasn’t been great this season, but they did manage to knock off a very good Drake team in their last game, and according to Kenpom, the Braves have gotten very unlucky this season, as their analytics are strong. The Braves rank 135th on Kenpom despite their losing record overall. SIU comes in way further down the ranking at 198th on Pomeroy’s site, and it is super rare that you see a line that differs so far from Kenpom’s data. Pomeroy has the Braves winning this game by five points, and to be able to get them with dog money shows outrageous value. Back the Braves.
Murray State Racers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks (+143)
It is really hard to beat a team three times in one season. But after seeing the Gamecocks beat the Racers twice already this year, it is a bit of a head scratcher to see them as significant dogs in this 3rd matchup between the two teams. This game is on a neutral floor in the opening round of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament, and this line stinks of public name recognition shenanigans.
— JSU Men’s Basketball (@JSUGamecocksMBB) March 3, 2021
Murray State has had a couple of very good teams in the last several years, and they get more public action than they deserve because of it. Jacksonville State, on the other hand, has only made the tournament one time in program history, coming back in 2017. I will fade the public and back J-Ville State in this one and watch the public’s shock when they realize that Ja Moran won’t be racing up and down the court for the Racers.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Bradley Braves +120
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks +143
$100 Bet Wins $435
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado Buffaloes (-10)
If you believe in Kenpom’s analytics, and you absolutely should, no team in the nation has a bigger home court advantage right now than the Colorado Buffaloes. So, if this line seems a bit inflated to the naked eye, just know, that it’s not. The Buffs are 10-1 at home this season and matched up against an Arizona State team that has just one road win in conference play this season, coming way back in early December over a bad Cal Bears team, this is a prime spot for a blowout. ASU has gotten blown out by 13 at Arizona and by 18 at USC, and you can argue that neither of those teams are as good as this Colorado team, particularly in Boulder. Expect the Buffaloes to win and win big.
Florida Gulf Coast (+5) at Lipscomb Bison
For those of you that haven’t checked in on the original Dunk City team, Florida Gulf Coast, since their memorable run in the NCAA tournament several years ago, I will quickly get you up to speed. FUGU made the tourney again in 2016 and 2017 after that March Madness run that put them on the map in 2013, but the program then bottomed out last year, going 10-22. But this season, the Eagles are back to their old ways, as they have been decent in limited action this season. They split the season series with Lipscomb, with both games coming on the road, and while I think they likely lose this one outright, five points feels like plenty of room to sneak in the cover in what should be a competitive game.
Campbell Camels at Radford Highlanders (-1)
Radford was looking like the class of the Big South earlier this year when they were 12-2 in conference play. That included a season sweep over Campbell, with the Highlanders winning both games on Campbell’s home floor. Radford sputtered to the finish line with a four-game losing streak late in the season, to cost them their shot at the league title. But they looked good in their opening-round game of the Big South Conference tournament against Hampton, and with the Highlanders getting a chance to play host tonight, I think they win and cover over a Campbell team that has just one win this season over a team in the top-200.
San Diego Toreros (+9) at San Francisco Dons
When San Francisco beat Virginia on the road earlier this year, the Dons got a lot of national media attention as a potential threat to Gonzaga in the WCC. But all of that hype was quickly washed away, as the Dons just haven’t played well in the WCC, with a 4-9 conference record, including losing their last six games of the regular season. This game will be played in Las Vegas in the first round of the WCC Conference tournament, and I just don’t see how you can expect the Dons to cover such a big number when they are playing so poorly right now.
Wheels 🆙 and headed to Las Vegas to take on the Dons in the first round of the WCC Tournament!#GoToreroshttps://t.co/LiYoJmDMDI
— San Diego Men’s Basketball (@usdmbb) March 3, 2021
San Diego stinks too, but the Toreros have done an admirable job of staying competitive in most games. San Diego has ten losses this season, but six of those have come by ten points or less. The only teams that have blown out the Toreros are Gonzaga (twice), UCLA, and UC Irvine, and all three of those teams are in competition for conference titles this season. I see San Diego keeping this one close enough to cash our ticket.
UCF Knights (-2.5) at East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina has won just one game since December. Now, that one game was a good one as they pulled off a shocking upset over Houston, but besides that, it has been all losing for the Pirates in 2021. Since January 2nd, the Pirates are 1-7, with four of those losses coming at home. All of those four losses came by at least six points, and three of them came by double digits. UCF hasn’t been able to hang with the top teams in the AAC this season, but against teams ranked outside of the top-105, they are 9-2. The Knights win and cover on the road tonight against a Pirates team in free fall.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
- Teams Odds
- Colorado Buffaloes (-10) -110
- Florida Gulf Coast (+5) -110
- Radford Highlanders (-1) -110
- San Diego Toreros (+9) -110
- UCF Knights (-2.5) -110
$100 Bet Wins $2,000
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Thanks for reading, and make sure that you stay tuned to TheSportsGeek for all of your March Madness betting advice and be sure to check out our college hoops betting page, where we bring you free daily betting picks each and every day!